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Future Analysis

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The Bundeswehr Planning Office pools tasks, competences and responsibilities within the Bundeswehr planning network on a level subordinate to the Federal Ministry of Defense. It provides, inter alia, method skills and scientific tools for the Bundeswehr and develops the basis for the future orientation of the Bundeswehr.

In this context, Security-Related Future Analysis serves the purpose of acquiring knowledge in order to update conceptual specifications and aims on a scientific basis and at an early stage. It provides ideas and concepts for the future orientation of the Bundeswehr in an open-ended way without being bound by instructions and thus constitutes a central element with regard to the establishment of targets.In this context, Security-Related Future Analysis serves the purpose of acquiring knowledge in order to update conceptual specifications and aims on a scientific basis and at an early stage. It provides ideas and concepts for the future orientation of the Bundeswehr in an open-ended way without being bound by instructions and thus constitutes a central element with regard to the establishment of targets.

The studies of the Future Analysis Branch are prepared in-house. In particular, they draw on knowledge from civilian scientific institutions as well as from different federal ministries in addition to the military expertise. However, the results are not coordinated with other ministries or research institutes and it is not intended to interfere with their responsibilities. The research papers of the Future Analysis Branch do not reflect official positions of the Federal Ministry of Defense.


  • Climate Change and Security in the Arctic beyond 2014

    With the Cold War ending, the Earth’s northern polar region initially seemed to have largely lost its geopolitical significance. Over the past few years, however, it has been coming back to the fore of public international attention. This was caused by a concurrence of two global trends termed in this context, also metaphorically, as the “interacting forces of climate change and globalization”.


  • running person

    Human Enhancement

    Today, Human Enhancement is generally understood as methods that serve to improve human performance capability. This especially includes surgical interventions that do not serve therapeutic purposes.


  • Non-State Conflicts in Areas of Limited Statehood

    The state has lost its status of being the only actor in a war. Already shortly after the end of the Cold War era, Somalia, Rwanda and former Yugoslavia clearly showed that non-state actors had become increasingly significant in terms of security policy.


  • Developments in robotics due to artificial intelligence and nanotechnology

    The concept "robot" elicits the most varied associations in humans. Some think of films such as "I Robot"2, others think of science fiction novels and Asimov's rules (see excerpt above), yet others think of industrial robots while a fourth may think of their new lawn mower and some may think of modern wars with combat robots. We increasingly come across robots in every imaginable area - but how do we define robots today?


  • Link zur Studie

    Geoengineering

    People have tried for centuries to influ-ence the weather to their benefit, for example to create rain – be it by traditional rituals like rain dances or first technical tests with explosives in the 19th century.


  • Weiter zur Studie

    The environmental dimensions of security

    21st Century – Environmental Dimensions of Security", the Bundeswehr Future Analysis Branch addresses the subject of finite resources and their potential security policy implications, exemplary using the scenario in which the global maximum rate of oil production has been exceeded. The second part of the study deals with climate change and demography.



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Current as of 3/29/17


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